Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.282444 0.331035 0.382480 0.440716 0.504524 0.572037 0.648600
2025-01-12 0.207733 0.272436 0.345734 0.433740 0.535389 0.648033 0.781222
2025-01-19 0.161538 0.236180 0.326236 0.440089 0.577484 0.735431 0.928228
2025-01-26 0.129915 0.211116 0.315050 0.452601 0.624874 0.828935 1.084367
2025-02-02 0.105874 0.191045 0.306403 0.465558 0.671456 0.921600 1.241275
2025-02-09 0.081876 0.166167 0.287532 0.462286 0.695733 0.986325 1.364994
2025-02-16 0.066344 0.150567 0.278809 0.470469 0.733494 1.067489 1.509567
2025-02-23 0.051433 0.132564 0.263893 0.467930 0.755655 1.128246 1.628917
2025-03-02 0.036414 0.110355 0.239264 0.448665 0.752986 1.155507 1.705143
2025-03-09 0.028882 0.100256 0.232267 0.454061 0.783581 1.226092 1.837198
2025-03-16 0.020809 0.086301 0.216666 0.444599 0.791913 1.266338 1.929770
2025-03-23 0.017619 0.082670 0.218580 0.462251 0.839350 1.359783 2.093001
2025-03-30 0.012985 0.073658 0.209690 0.462282 0.861544 1.420221 2.215159
2025-04-06 0.009442 0.065919 0.202017 0.463501 0.885176 1.482836 2.341032
2025-04-13 0.007341 0.061662 0.200663 0.475071 0.924526 1.567854 2.498030
2025-04-20 0.005889 0.058908 0.202005 0.491138 0.970929 1.663300 2.670095
2025-04-27 0.004657 0.056211 0.203043 0.506519 1.016449 1.758023 2.842157
2025-05-04 0.003007 0.049795 0.194587 0.504042 1.033520 1.812084 2.958981
2025-05-11 0.002127 0.046412 0.192685 0.513276 1.069158 1.893137 3.113596
2025-05-18 0.001230 0.041089 0.184985 0.510914 1.085755 1.946520 3.230245
2025-05-25 0.000444 0.033226 0.168776 0.490674 1.072065 1.954860 3.283794
2025-06-01 0.000218 0.030449 0.165966 0.496505 1.101365 2.026765 3.426844
2025-06-08 0.000045 0.025605 0.155813 0.486526 1.103532 2.057994 3.512587